Earl

Intermediate Advisory 34A

Other than location, not much has changed. It's weakening (948 mb). Forecasts degrade Earl to a Cat 2 when it passes Cape Hatteras (and its bands break apart the shear as it strikes the coast here at Beaufort) and as it moves out over much colder water north of Hatteras. I did look up the Storm Surge for the mid to northern outer banks. From just North of Hatteras to just north of Nags Head, the strom surge is expected to be 6'. That is going to be very significant (which might mean they rebuild HWY 12 again). :amgry

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 74.7W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
 
Captains Cat":2ssy4vxi said:
Don't wait too late Matt, you won't be the only one at the ramp...

Charlie
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I decided to bit the bullet and take her out in case the storm is nasty. I'm completely confident in my brand new mooring but not so much those around me. (One broke loose last week in normal conditions).

I was the only person at the ramp tonight at high tide - wild - anyway she is on the hard until Saturday. Better safe than sorry.
 
I survived Iwa and saw first hand what Iniki did. Batten down the hatches or get the hell out of the way. Them's your choices. Good luck.
 
not sure i live on a fault line. which one do you live on? two of largest earth quakes in U.S history where in Charliston south carolina (7.3) and new madrid missouri (7.7) . I do live in a one story house and in the only valley around here with out a volcano at the end of it. Iam also 50 to 60 ft above sea level and the river.

I do not live in the kent valley south of me for the simple reason that if Mt. Rainer does go up, or even burps, everyone there is going to die. from the volcano to the edge of lake washington and Elliott bay will be under a flood of mud 60 ft deep, again. happens every time there is a eruption. We looked at that when we decided to move here. some thing you can help and some you can't.
 
Tom, I have to say that one of the riskiest things you do every day is jump in your car and go merrily driving off. Maybe you are on you way to Safeway and whammo - off to the netherworld. If people really cared they would avoid cardiovascular and pulmonary disease, lets not be overweight and maybe even consider not smoking. Addressing just those two issues would also reduce malignancy rates. After that mortality is caused by accidents, you are way more likely to die from a fall or commit suicide then to be accidently in the way of a rogue natural event.
Just a thought but I say change the things you can change.
Best
Eric
 
Eric - EXACTLY. We could save somewhere between 70 and 90% of all health care costs in the U.S. if we could just get people to eat decently and exercise regularly. Not only that, I bet people would be happier and more productive if they were healthier. McDonalds, Duncan donuts, Krispy Kreme, cigarettes etc. kill far more Americans each day than were killed in the WTC on 9/11. If only we were angry enough at this to do something about it. But since these deaths are sprinkled about the country and for a given individual take a long time to develop, we tend to ignore the problem.
 
We received (at most) 39 mph winds on-shore.
I'm suspecting Cape Hatteras received ~ 79 mph winds, since they remained just outside the inner band of 79 mph winds as Earl passed ~ 100 E of Cape Hatteras. Most damage (as usual) is caused by storm surge and not wind. So, we'll have to see how folks managed with the strom surge as the cyclone subsides and passes.

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.3N 74.0W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
 
Not much here (yet) where the Potomac meets the Bay. Light winds, light rain and clouds. More to come. Boats are secure and tied down, high tide in about three hours. Biggest concern is the level in the scotch bottle for the weekend. :shock:

Charlie
 
Captains Cat":31eewxqc said:
Not much here (yet) where the Potomac meets the Bay. Light winds, light rain and clouds. More to come. Boats are secure and tied down, high tide in about three hours. Biggest concern is the level in the scotch bottle for the weekend.
Click to expand...
Yes, it looks like it's going to be just a bad storm. And, for that, we are grateful.

With regard to the entertaining discussion above, I have to say that I am in the "get out; be safe" camp. I have a wife and kids, and there is nothing, seriously nothing, more important than their safety. Though it looks like we won't need it, we made a reservation at a hotel inland - as we always do when there is a hurricane coming.

And for the record, I am addicted to coffee.

And Scotch.

:)
---
mike
 
We too made the reservation inland. The weather is beautiful right now in Charlottesville. Sunny, no wind, 70's to low 80s. We came up yesterday evening. Lots of people on the road til Richmond, and then easy quiet roads to Charlottesville. The kids think it is fun instead of scary. My daughter needed to see UVA anyway since she is a Junior this year. The Navy went to "essential personnel only" today, so I got the day off and didn't even have to pay for the time off!

Litl' Tug is on the trailer and tied to stakes in the ground. We get some fierce winds on the lower eastern shore during "normal" storms so not taking any chances. Spent Wed putting away all the lawn furniture etc. Weather report is calling for 60 mph winds on the shore.

And for the record, addicted to exercise, coffee, doughnuts and rum, in that order. :lol:
 
Here, in the middle of Cape Cod, it looks like Earl will be down to a tropical storm by the time it blows through late tonight. The Retriever is in a well protected slip - back of the inner harbor next to a bulkhead - so this morning I just added a couple of lines. Then I went home brought in the lawn furniture and took down the flag. I expect we'll lose power for a while so I'm keeping the Honda 2000 at the ready.

Now I think I'll spend the rest of the evening with my favorite sea captain, Morgan, and his faithful companion Cola. :lol:
 
ccflyer":37m5tnh3 said:
Here, in the middle of Cape Cod, it looks like Earl will be down to a tropical storm by the time it blows through late tonight. The Retriever is in a well protected slip - back of the inner harbor next to a bulkhead - so this morning I just added a couple of lines. Then I went home brought in the lawn furniture and took down the flag. I expect we'll lose power for a while so I'm keeping the Honda 2000 at the ready.

Now I think I'll spend the rest of the evening with my favorite sea captain, Morgan, and his faithful companion Cola. :lol:
Click to expand...

Too funny...figures we make all our preparations and then it weakens and moves further out to sea. Better safe than sorry though.

Last week a sailboat on a mooring near Napoleon broke off and went adrift. If that happens in calm/normal conditions I don't regret the fact I'm on the hard for the next 18 hours or so in strong winds.
 
Here in Sea Isle City, NJ, a barrier island, the effects of Earl were next to nothing. Little wind, little to no rain, no unusual tides- rough surf- did not pull the 22 and it was nice and safe in it's slip.

Hope all future hurricanes of our this nature.

Cheers

Ken
 
Hi Ken,

I've been watching your thread to see if I had to pull my boat. I decided early this AM to pull it, just in case. Right after I pulled it, the weather predictions showed Earl going East. So, I assume you owe me. It's because I pulled my boat that Earl went East!

Rick
 
Hi Rick:

I am thinking that after Hunky Dory survived the rocks of Maine Earl would not be a challenge/threat. But be safe and hopefully Earl will go further out to sea and become a fish storm. Thanks for moving Earl east!

Ken
 
All over here in the Chesapeake. .04" inch of rain and no wind over 20mph. We are somewhat disappointed, lots of hype, no action... Guess it's a good thing though..

Charlie
 
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