PNW Wind/Rain Storm Oct 2016

H

hardee

New member
This storm is covering a fairly large area, with significant winds and rain. Yesterday, a tornado on the Oregon coast at Manzaneta, 5 inches of rain at Forks, WA, and 20,000 people without power currently. Many trees down on roads, cars and houses. Big waves on the water and 50% plus whitecaps in some places.

Lots of Brats under this umbrella. Hope you all are battened down, stored up, and safe for the rest of the night and weekend, and hope all the C-Dorys are tied down and tucked in.

Stay safe,

Harvey
SleepyC:moon

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It blew harder at my house (about 5 miles inland) on Thursday than it did today, but it blew much harder at the beach today. Cape Disappointment recorded gusts near 80 mph today.

Here is a little video of the ocean outside the Columbia River south jetty. This was at 2:00 this afternoon a little after high tide. I shot the video with my phone while standing on the platform with those other folks. It was a little breezy.

Link to video (Youtube)

And just for fun, here is the 6:00 pm Columbia River bar report.

MAIN CHANNEL IS 20-22 FEET WITH BREAKS, MIDDLEGROUND IS 14-16 FEET WITH BREAKS, PEACOCK IS 24-26 FEET WITH BREAKS, CLATSOP SPIT IS 18-20 FEET WITH BREAKS. WINDS ARE 25-30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND VISIBILITY IS 06 NAUTICAL MILES. THE BAR IS CURRENTLY RESTRICED TO ALL VESSELS WEST OF BUOY 11.
Click to expand...
 
Great video Mike! Looks much more impressive than any of the footage we've seen from the coast on the local news tonight. Here in the interior in Mill Creek, things are pretty "ordinary" so far...(we regularly see stronger winds and rain here in the "convergence zone" from storms that never even make the news). Crossing my fingers that we've dodged a bullet with this storm staying further West than expected. Hope everyone in the areas harder hit are doing OK!

-Mike
 
Tyboo had the cojones to stand on the platform at the South Jetty, Columbia River, and grin at the weather, in the face of predictions of 80 mph winds. I stayed home and eyeballed gnarly videos of the Tillamook Bay jetty at Barview, as wave after wave swept its length. In the end, we never saw those winds, and it cleared out 4 or 5 hours ahead of schedule.

I'll take that. Rather ready than surprised. Retired NOAA weather guy out of Bay City south of us had better forecasts than the big guns out of Seattle or Portland. Tillamook-centric, but very good: http://www.gamweather.com/home.html
 
Blew harder here yesterday than it did tonight (which was supposedly the "big one"). I was lucky yesterday. The only tree it blew down was a cedar that I had wanted to cut down for several years. It blocked out out solar gain in the winter. Fell in the driveway but missed the car. Now, it's just kindling for next year's fires.

We had a few trees blow down on our road. All of the neighbors scramble to "clear the road," when we are actually competing to get next year's firewood from the easiest possible location. I may have several years worth.

It was interesting watching the tide this evening. High tide wasn't all that high (+11.5'), but because of the drop in barometric pressure, it came up really high. It seemed to stay high as the storm built, even though it was supposed to be ebbing.

I keep an aluminum kicker boat down on the beach that always needs emptying after a storm like this. Amazing the amount of beating and neglect a little aluminum boat can take. It's been tied up to driftwood for over 10 years. Hope that it's still there tomorrow.

Mark
 
Wow. Wife and I just drove down the coast from Astoria to Frisco about a week ago. Rainy, (the first half) but otherwise calm and delightful. Colby
 
This Saturday storm had to to hit Vancouver Island somewhere. The problem with Seattle news outlet,s is they will just drop the story as "We dodged a bullet". It would do a a lot to bring understanding of our northern neighbors and geography if they would follow up.
 
Port Townsend had 62 MPH winds this evening, Destruction Island 81 MPH, and most of Puget Sound had 50ish. Sequim might have been gusts to 40 something for a bit, out at John Wayne Marina. The Windsock was standing right out, lots of 3 foot or better waves and whitecaps around 1500.

Harvey
SleepyC :moon

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Wind's up. That's a start.
Add more rain and cold - that's when we like to go sailing
on northern Lake Michigan. ':wink:'

FYI - the power of wind, effects on water
When wind speed doubles
(2 t 4, 4 to 8, 8 to 16, 16 to 32, etc)
the FORCE of the wind increases eight times.
"The wind power increases with the cube of the wind speed."
- Physics of Wind..., Snurr & Freude

At about 32-33 knots (start of Gale Force)
Small Craft Warnings are issued as this force
of wind on water, with some fetch, will produce
dangerous waves which do the damage.
(a cubic meter of sea water weighs about a ton)
Think about it.

Land Lubbers beware.

Aye.
 
Thursday night's storm seemed a little more severe than Saturday's. Cliff Mass advised that the storm center intensified less that expected, the storm center was small, and the pathway was a few miles further west than projected. In his projections he did note that small changes in those three things would make big differences in most areas.
 
The NWS says the typhoon remnant, an intense 982 mB low, split into two smaller systems, defusing the intensity of the winds. Their forecasts did not anticipate that. Nobody got it right.

Happy I don't have their job.
 
Up here in Powell River we missed getting the brunt of the storm or I slept through it. LOL Our power went off about 9 pm but was on about two hours later. I checked marine weather stations and the wind gusts peaked at about 43 kts at Grief Point. Sisters Islet weather station ( south end of Texada) recorded two hours of sustained wind between 46 and 51 kts with gusts to 59 kts. I wouldn't have wanted to be out there for sure. Didn't quite get the expected rainfall either only 25 mm at the airport. (about 1 inch)

Cheers
Ron
 
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