El and Bill
New member
- Joined
- Nov 8, 2003
- Messages
- 3,200
- Reaction score
- 0
- C Dory Year
- 2000
- C Dory Model
- 22 Cruiser
- Hull Identification Number
- Sold in 2012
- Vessel Name
- Halcyon
Giving an earthquake warning is difficult. The Earth does not give reliable pre-signals prior to a quake - many techniques have been (and are) researched but nothing 100% reliable until now.
I served for years on a committee of geologists attempting to determine reliability of warning and morality of signalling when there us anything less than 100% certainty on the prediction. Panic is a hazard and a prediction that fails can be fatal and costly - and then ignored next time. So we recommended NO prediction by the professionals until there is a higher degree of certainty.
Now there is a prediction with certainty, and it can save lives and warn of impending tsunami that might be in time to get you off the water and away from shore. It is not perfected yet, but looks like it will be shortly so those living in the Pacific NW should be aware and follow progress from the Univ. of WA.
Here's how it works - major quake occurs (offshore, or in no. CA, but at a distance from you. It has HAPPENED -no uncertainty - instantly a warning system sends messages
http://www.washington.edu/news/articles ... -northwest
I served for years on a committee of geologists attempting to determine reliability of warning and morality of signalling when there us anything less than 100% certainty on the prediction. Panic is a hazard and a prediction that fails can be fatal and costly - and then ignored next time. So we recommended NO prediction by the professionals until there is a higher degree of certainty.
Now there is a prediction with certainty, and it can save lives and warn of impending tsunami that might be in time to get you off the water and away from shore. It is not perfected yet, but looks like it will be shortly so those living in the Pacific NW should be aware and follow progress from the Univ. of WA.
Here's how it works - major quake occurs (offshore, or in no. CA, but at a distance from you. It has HAPPENED -no uncertainty - instantly a warning system sends messages
http://www.washington.edu/news/articles ... -northwest