View previous topic :: View next topic |
Author |
Message |
El and Bill
Joined: 08 Nov 2003 Posts: 3200 City/Region: Lakewood, CO
State or Province: CO
C-Dory Year: 2000
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Halcyon
Photos: Halcyon
|
Posted: Tue Apr 04, 2006 11:08 am Post subject: Hurricane Season '06 |
|
|
In the news this morning, and of specific interest for those on the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts:
The Colorado State University team led by Dr. William Gray, a pioneer in forecasting storm probabilities, said it expected 17 named storms to form in the Atlantic basin during the six-month season starting in June.
Nine of the storms will likely strengthen into hurricanes, with winds of at least 74 mph, the team said, reaffirming their early prediction in December.
The forecasters said five of the hurricanes were likely to be major storms, reaching at least Category 3 on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity, and boasting winds of at least 111 mph.
The long-term statistical average is for around 10 named storms per season, of which six become hurricanes. _________________ El and Bill (former live-aboards)
Halcyon 2000 CD 22 Bought 2000 Sold 2012
http://cruisingamerica-halcyondays.com/ |
|
Back to top |
|
|
MOOSE
Joined: 07 Nov 2003 Posts: 619 City/Region: Rainy Lake - Int'l. Falls
State or Province: MN
C-Dory Year: 2001
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: MOOSE
Photos: MOOSE
|
Posted: Tue Apr 04, 2006 11:33 am Post subject: |
|
|
I've followed this guy's predictions for a number of years; he's pretty close to right on. He says we've been lulled into a false sense of security over the last 40 years or so by fewer than normal hurricanes and has predicted this return to more and more severe activity. Unfortunately, that 40 years has seen one heck of a lot of development along our storm prone coasts.
Al _________________ .....and remember, if the women don't find you handsome, they should at least find you handy. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
nscogin
Joined: 21 Jan 2006 Posts: 103 City/Region: Washington DC/Wareham
State or Province: MA
C-Dory Year: 2006
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Dawn Treader
Photos: Dawn Treader
|
Posted: Tue Apr 04, 2006 4:35 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Does he make any prediction as to where the hurricanes are likely to make landfall? As someone whose waterfront vacation home was completed less than a year ago, I have more to worry about than just my boat!
Norma |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Captains Cat
Joined: 03 Nov 2003 Posts: 7313 City/Region: Cod Creek>Potomac River>Chesapeake Bay
State or Province: VA
C-Dory Year: 2005
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Captain's Choice II
Photos: Captain's Cat
|
Posted: Tue Apr 04, 2006 5:11 pm Post subject: |
|
|
nscogin wrote: | Does he make any prediction as to where the hurricanes are likely to make landfall? As someone whose waterfront vacation home was completed less than a year ago, I have more to worry about than just my boat!
Norma |
Boy, that would be a long shot.
If he could do that, I'd think he'd be playing the market, not looking for storms.
charlie _________________ CHARLIE and PENNY CBRAT #100
Captain's Cat II 2005 22 Cruiser
Thataway (2006 TC255 - Sold Aug 2013)
Captain's Cat (2006 TC255 - Sold January 2012)
Captain's Kitten (1995 CD 16 Angler- Sold June 2010)
Captain's Choice (1994 CD 22 Cruiser- Sold Jun 2007)
Potomac River/Chesapeake Bay
K4KBA |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Papillon
Joined: 31 Mar 2005 Posts: 949 City/Region: DeBary, Fl. *On the St. John's River*
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 1993
C-Dory Model: 22 Angler
Vessel Name: Papillon
Photos: Papillon
|
Posted: Tue Apr 04, 2006 10:33 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I can pretty much tell you where one of those baby's is going to be in mid to late July. I am planning a short (1 Week) circle of SW Florida, heading up the coast to Ft. Myers and across the big ditch to the East Coast and down to the Keys, and back up the 10,000 islands to Naples.
You can bet your bottom dollar that one of the nine will catch up with me some time that week. I got my degree in " Murphy's Law" . _________________ Mike Taylor
330-936-1030
1993 Angler-02' 115 Suzuki 4 Stroke |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Yellowstone
Joined: 07 Feb 2006 Posts: 475 City/Region: White Sulphur Springs
State or Province: MT
C-Dory Year: 1999
C-Dory Model: 22 Classic
Vessel Name: Farwest II
Photos: Farwest III
|
Posted: Wed Apr 05, 2006 2:25 am Post subject: |
|
|
Sorry to hear about this prediction. Hurricanes are really bad news. After my first wife died of complications due to diabetes, I married a Mississippi lass who lived on the gulf coast near Bay St. Louis. We decided to put all her household effects into dry storage since we didn't need two homes and two households. We picked Kiln, Mississipi as the site, thirteen miles from the ocean. Well, Katrina came along and pushed water up the Jordan River to the extent that the original 30 foot sea surge put only four feet of water into our storage unit. You can imagine the mess we found three weeks later. Interestingly enough, a number of small boats survived Katrina with minimal damage, while homes miles from the ocean were completely destroyed. Nature is a cruel master! John _________________ hopelessly addicted C-Dory user |
|
Back to top |
|
|
|