View previous topic :: View next topic |
Author |
Message |
C. A. Derivas
Joined: 24 Oct 2016 Posts: 35 City/Region: Pensacola
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2004
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Serendipity
Photos: Bettie's Bataeu
|
Posted: Fri Sep 01, 2017 3:58 pm Post subject: |
|
|
As noted by Thataway, Serendipity, C.A. and Bettie must cancel out. We are very sorry to have to miss this. Had looked forward to seeing 'old' friends and meeting new ones. Hopefully next event will come soon and we'll be able to participate. Y'all have a great time! _________________ C. A. and Bettie |
|
Back to top |
|
|
thataway
Joined: 02 Nov 2003 Posts: 20818 City/Region: Pensacola
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: thataway
Photos: Thataway
|
Posted: Mon Sep 04, 2017 9:17 am Post subject: |
|
|
Well,,we are all hitched up and ready to roll this AM. All gear aboard, including frozen food for 3 weeks, except fresh food in the refers. Last night we were on the extreme outlier of the path of Hurricane Irma. This morning, the consensus of the models by NHC and the American ensemble models show hits on S. Florida. The Canadian Ensemble Models show one path as a direct hit on Pensacola, several show direct hit on the Panama City area, one outlier to the Yucatan, and the rest go from Port St. Joe, all of the way to Virginia. So our risk from Irma has gone from 5% to about 25% in the last 12 hours. Because of the rapidly changing models, and predictions, we are not leaving today as planed.
Since we can make the 1000 miles to Clinton, IA, in 2 days, we will re-consider if we are going or not tomorrow morning. If there is a 40% chance of a hit, we will sadly cancel the trip, stay here; put the storm shutters up. Then evacuate. The path is somewhat similar to Ivan, and it all depends on what the Atlantic High and a strong ridge does in the next 24 hours. The Gulf of Mexico is very warm and it it is not badly depleted in energy as it goes across Cuba, or S. Florida, it could easily be a cat. 4 storm. _________________ Bob Austin
Thataway
Thataway (Ex Seaweed) 2007 25 C Dory May 2018 to Oct. 2021
Thisaway 2006 22' CDory November 2011 to May 2018
Caracal 18 140 Suzuki 2007 to present
Thataway TomCat 255 150 Suzukis June 2006 thru August 2011
C Pelican; 1992, 22 Cruiser, 2002 thru 2006
Frequent Sea; 2003 C D 25, 2007 thru 2009
KA6PKB
Home port: Pensacola FL |
|
Back to top |
|
|
colbysmith
Joined: 02 Oct 2011 Posts: 4558 City/Region: Madison
State or Province: WI
C-Dory Year: 2009
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: C-Traveler
Photos: C-Traveler and Midnight-Flyer
|
Posted: Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:59 am Post subject: |
|
|
Keeping our fingers crossed and prayers going for you Bob. And safe travels if you are able to come up. Hope Irma just turns back out and stays at sea. This has just been a weird year. The devastation from Harvey, and all the fires out west! And I'm not even delving into politics!
We will be heading down to Dubuque tomorrow to launch, then take two days to boat down to the gathering. Got my boat back yesterday evening with the new Bimini top and camper enclosure. Then stayed up till midnight putting new bunk boards on my trailer.... Colby |
|
Back to top |
|
|
thataway
Joined: 02 Nov 2003 Posts: 20818 City/Region: Pensacola
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: thataway
Photos: Thataway
|
Posted: Mon Sep 04, 2017 4:06 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Just a note--haven't decided yet if we can make it,--but most recent models show storm track a bit more to the West.
Marie went to the grocery store to get a few incidentals. I mentioned she should pick up a few more cases of bottled water, just in case. She reported that both Windixie and WalMart are almost out of bottled water in the last 48 hours. Also many caned goods and staples were also flying off the shelves--"Just in case"
Our county EOC had given a heads up on Irma... |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Discovery
Joined: 08 Dec 2003 Posts: 1239 City/Region: LOA, UTAH
State or Province: UT
C-Dory Year: 2006
C-Dory Model: 255 Tomcat
Vessel Name: Discovery
Photos: Discovery
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 9:11 am Post subject: |
|
|
We are off the Trent Severn Canal and have made it to Michigan. We are currently at Warren Dunes State Park near Lake Michigan.
They said we are the first boater camper to overnight at the park. Low trees, broke the Sirius antenna, but I'll find a fix.
We will be in Clinton by the 6th.
I hope Thataway can make it. Irma, go away.
We listened to Sirius radio and were dismayed with the damage from Hurricane Harvey. We lived in Rockport, Tx for 11 winters. Palm Harbors RV, our home for so long, took a direct hit. Everything was leveled to the ground. _________________
Brent and Dixie,
1984 22' Classic sold 2003
2003 24' TomCat sold 2005
2006 TC255 Discovery Sold 2020
2006 CD 22' Angler Sold 2014
https://share.delorme.com/FBrentBetenson
"Free men do not ask permission to bear arms." ~ Thomas Jefferson |
|
Back to top |
|
|
thataway
Joined: 02 Nov 2003 Posts: 20818 City/Region: Pensacola
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: thataway
Photos: Thataway
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 10:38 am Post subject: |
|
|
We had to make our decision at 6 AM this morning (two 500 day drives, plus getting the fresh food aboard and in the refers.) There is too much of a chance that Irma might come into our neighborhood. Only one model has a direct hit on Pensacola., but that is with only a Cat 3 (because it goes across Cuba as a 5) The consensus has it making land fall in S. Florida as a Cat 5 and one shows winds at landfall at the 170 knot range steady, with gusts over 200 mph...that would be one of the strongest hits that FL has ever taken; potentially similar to Andrew in 1992 which leveled Homestead, FL.
Although we are pulling all food items off of the boat, we are leaving our clothes, and if weather permits, we are still strongly considering spending a couple of weeks on the Tennessee River a week from today...
We are saddened we will not see our many friends at Clinton. Our best to all--have a great time! |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Miafun1
Joined: 02 Jan 2010 Posts: 111 City/Region: Illinois
State or Province: IL
C-Dory Year: 2004
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Lake Effect
Photos: Lake Effect
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:34 am Post subject: |
|
|
Sorry to hear you won't be at the gathering but do understand. You and Marie will be missed.
Maybe we'll see you on the Tennessee? We'll keep in touch.
Dan and Peggy _________________ Dan & Peggy
'Lake Effect'
|
|
Back to top |
|
|
BTDT
Joined: 07 Jan 2011 Posts: 322 City/Region: Grand Lake Oklahoma
State or Province: OK
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 255 Tomcat
Vessel Name: C- Lark Wine Down
Photos: C-Lark
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 2:07 pm Post subject: |
|
|
thataway wrote: | We had to make our decision at 6 AM this morning (two 500 day drives, plus getting the fresh food aboard and in the refers.) There is too much of a chance that Irma might come into our neighborhood. Only one model has a direct hit on Pensacola., but that is with only a Cat 3 (because it goes across Cuba as a 5) The consensus has it making land fall in S. Florida as a Cat 5 and one shows winds at landfall at the 170 knot range steady, with gusts over 200 mph...that would be one of the strongest hits that FL has ever taken; potentially similar to Andrew in 1992 which leveled Homestead, FL.
Although we are pulling all food items off of the boat, we are leaving our clothes, and if weather permits, we are still strongly considering spending a couple of weeks on the Tennessee River a week from today...
We are saddened we will not see our many friends at Clinton. Our best to all--have a great time! |
We are going to have to cancel also. We have a farm in SC, and hurricane Irma is just to big to ignore. I spent three weeks in south Florida in the aftermath of hurricane Andrew and to say it was challenging is an understatement.
Bob, please let us know if you decide to go ahead with the Pickwick launch _________________ John & Vicki Clark
C-Lark Wine Down
Tomcat 255 |
|
Back to top |
|
|
TyBoo
Joined: 23 Oct 2003 Posts: 5314 City/Region: Warrenton
State or Province: OR
C-Dory Year: 1996
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruise Ship
Vessel Name: TyBoo
Photos: TyBoo
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 2:21 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I wish you all the best back there! Stay safe. _________________ TyBoo Mike
Sold: 1996 25' Cruise Ship
Sold: 1987 22' Cruiser |
|
Back to top |
|
|
hardee
Joined: 30 Oct 2006 Posts: 12633 City/Region: Sequim
State or Province: WA
C-Dory Year: 2005
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Sleepy-C
Photos: SleepyC
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 3:26 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Wow, Another hurricane. You all are in my prayers. Wishing you all safety and best of all, a good MISS by Irma.
I have good friends in Dominican Republic. They are holding their breath too.
Harvey
SleepyC
_________________ Though in our sleep we are not conscious of our activity or surroundings, we should not, in our wakefulness, be unconscious of our sleep. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
BTDT
Joined: 07 Jan 2011 Posts: 322 City/Region: Grand Lake Oklahoma
State or Province: OK
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 255 Tomcat
Vessel Name: C- Lark Wine Down
Photos: C-Lark
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 3:34 pm Post subject: |
|
|
hardee wrote: | Wow, Another hurricane. You all are in my prayers. Wishing you all safety and best of all, a good MISS by Irma.
I have good friends in Dominican Republic. They are holding their breath too.
Harvey
SleepyC
|
Just saw the Weather channel showing one arrow track pointing at South Carolina and one towards the gulf coast. Sustained winds have increased to 185 mph and it's still anyone's guess on when it turns north in the next five days. Not good, especially given a Category 5 hurricane is 500 times more powerful than a category 1 |
|
Back to top |
|
|
thataway
Joined: 02 Nov 2003 Posts: 20818 City/Region: Pensacola
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2007
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: thataway
Photos: Thataway
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 4:43 pm Post subject: |
|
|
We are leaving the gear on the boat, so we can make the Tennessee river trip if we don't get a near hit, and that area looks "clear". But this is the peak of hurricane season and another storm has just been named off Africa. We have been blessed in Pensacola, for 13 years since the devastation of Ivan, with no major storm hit directly.
I'll start a new thread if it looks as if it is a "Go" for the Tennessee River for us. Missing the gathering is very disappointing I know for all of us who are potentially in harm's way. Such a massive and unpredictable storm seems a bit unusual. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
gulfcoast john
Joined: 14 Dec 2012 Posts: 989 City/Region: PENSACOLA
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2010
C-Dory Model: 255 Tomcat
Vessel Name: Cat O' Mine
Photos: CAT O' MINE
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:20 pm Post subject: Miss gathering |
|
|
Hi All!
We too are cancelling out of this Gathering (sorry Tex).
We're both retired as of July 21, and had previously decided that we should sell our home in Ocean Springs, Mississippi (slab at 25 feet, Katrina surge in the 'hood was 24 vertical feet). We've always liked Pensacola and keep the boat there all season (late April to mid Nov, then to Key West).
So we rented a smaller house in Pensacola, closed on our home on Thursday, and U-Hauled the last of 4 loads on Friday (pretty good for a couple of 62 year olds). We're still unpacking.
Today we were at the FL DMV for only 6 hours (although it seemed like only 5.999 hours) and we each got a FL drivers license (but no go on registering the car or truck or boat or trailer). But hey, we don't have to go to work tormorrow!
Maybe we can still cruise the TN river with Bob next week, depending on how efficient the FL DMV becomes (Note to Bob: Don't hold your breath here.)
Stay out of the way of Irma. Katrina was our 13th hurricane, and the only one we ever evacuated for (but only to Pensacola). Be prepared.
Happy Preparing!
John _________________ John and Eileen Highsmith
2010 Tom Cat 255, Cat O' Mine
Yamaha F150, LXF150 |
|
Back to top |
|
|
colbysmith
Joined: 02 Oct 2011 Posts: 4558 City/Region: Madison
State or Province: WI
C-Dory Year: 2009
C-Dory Model: 25 Cruiser
Vessel Name: C-Traveler
Photos: C-Traveler and Midnight-Flyer
|
Posted: Tue Sep 05, 2017 10:34 pm Post subject: |
|
|
You guys in Florida and SC, stay safe! We'll be praying for and thinking of you. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
irlboater
Joined: 26 Nov 2009 Posts: 47 City/Region: Melbourne Beach
State or Province: FL
C-Dory Year: 2000
C-Dory Model: 22 Cruiser
Vessel Name: Salty
Photos: Salty
|
Posted: Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:06 pm Post subject: |
|
|
It was good to see a few fellow C-Brats today at the gathering in Clinton. Unfortunately, we weren't able to stay long because we are scheduled to fly back home to prepare for this impending hurricane. Maybe we can make it to Hontoon Island in March. Jonathan and Rosa aboard Salty |
|
Back to top |
|
|
|